新疆南北疆区域经济差异预警研究

当前,对新疆南北疆区域经济差异进行分析并及时进行预警有着极为特殊的政治、经济和社会意义。从对目前新疆南北疆的经济规模、地区经济影响力的差异分析来看,南北疆区域经济发展水平不平衡,地域差异性较为显著,而且北疆地区内部差距均小于南疆地区;从对南北疆地区区域经济差异预警分析来看,南北疆区域经济的绝对差异已经出现过大的特征,南北疆整体经济相对差异也十分明显,而且南北疆内部各地、州、市之间的经济绝对差异和相对差异也不一致。因此,须对新疆南北疆区域经济差异进行调控,促进区域经济协调发展;利用各省市对口支援的机遇,加快落后地区经济快速发展;组织区域经济合作,加强南北疆地、州、市之间的相互支援与合作。     

论我国房地产市场预警系统的建立

建立房地产市场预警系统有助我们在恰当的时候采用正确的房地产宏观调控措施促进房地产市场健康发展。本文将房价收入比、房价租金比、租金收入比、房地产价格增长率与GDP增长率之比、商品房空置率5个指标作为房地产市场预警统计指标,并对它们的预警区间做出界定,然后根据每个指标的统计数据,确定警兆的警级,结合警兆的重要性进行加权综合,综合成一个指数,这样就可以用一组类似于交通信号灯的标志把当前的房地产市场状态直观地表达出来,用以判断房地产市场过热或衰退的程度,来制定房地产宏观调控的方向。     

大型物流仓储类建筑防火安全设计方法探析

随着中国物流产业的蓬勃发展,越来越多大型物流仓储中心出现,但是随之而来的一些消防问题也摆在眼前,如防火分区面积过大、疏散问题、消防设施布置等。运用了性能化防火设计评估的方法对类似建筑进行分析模拟,并提出相关优化方案是一个比较可行的解决办法,通过该方法能够提高建筑安全性,增加设施的可靠性。     

The distinctive agenda of service failure recovery in e-tailing: Criticality of logistical / non-logistical service failure typologies and e-tailing ethics

What is so different about executing service failure recovery in an online environment as in e-tailing?Answering this, the present research points out to the need of considering e-tailing's natural propensity to foster multiple avenues of service failures which are either logistical or non-logistical in nature. Furthermore, given the distant location of the product, e-tailer, and the buyer, e-tailing is posed with risks of ethical transgressions. Therefore, by contextualizing on an Indian e-tailing scenario, we explore how service failure recovery in this challenging setting could be shaped. Justice building failure mitigation strategies such as response speed and compensation emerge to improve recovery efforts, however, apology seems to not work well in establishing justice to drive service failure recovery. Interestingly, an e-tailer's watchfulness toward the strengthening of its online ethics synergistically redeems recovery satisfaction, customer forgiveness, and positive word-of-mouth for the grieving consumer. This synergy can further mitigate the adverse impacts of service failure severity on recovery outcomes. Yet, a consumer having faced a severe service failure instance can have reservations in spreading positive word-of-mouth despite forgiving. Lastly, when considering logistical vs. non-logistical service failure typologies, the synergistic influence of e-tailing ethics and justice over recovery satisfaction becomes very strong in the case of non-logistical service failures.     

出口型企业危机预警理论研究与系统建构

出口型企业在我国经济建设和发展中起着举足轻重的作用。金融危机爆发以来,我国出口型企业遭受了巨大的冲击,2009年的出口贸易首次在改革开放之后出现了负增长。这使得企业界和理论界开始高度重视和认真思考如何预防、减轻甚至杜绝危机的问题。本文首先分析了出口型企业的危机来源和分类,然后对危机监测、危机评估、危机预警、危机预控等理论的研究现状进行了综述,接着基于危机管理理论和系统管理理论建构了企业危机预警系统。该系统模型可以应用于出口型企业、行业协会和政府有关监管部门,有利于提高出口型企业应对危机的能力、水平和效率。     

Labor Income Taxation,Human Capital,and Growth: The Role of Childcare*

In this paper, we examine the effects of labor income taxation on growth in an overlapping generations model in which schooling and childcare play a role in the production of human capital. We compare such effects with those obtained in a model in which only schooling matters for skill formation. We show that the omission of childcare from the technology of skill formation can bias the results related to the impact of labor income taxation on growth.     

银行信贷风险管理和预警体系研究——以建设银行某支行为例（下）

在对现行建设银行信贷风险管理的研究后,建立了新的适用评定信贷风险模型,并获得了理论上的成功.而模型需要进行案例实证的检验才具有可信性,在此所选建行下某支行贷款企业实际数据进行检测,实证证明模型有效.得出所建模型在案例实证的情况下有效的结论.     

Does delaying service-failure resolution ever make sense?

Conventional wisdom suggests that service providers should respond to their failures as quickly as possible. Some research, however, points out that delaying resolutions may produce highly desirable results. The study here investigates these competing views by examining under which conditions an immediate or a delaying resolution produces more positive consumer responses in term of re-patronage and negative word-of-mouth intentions. Based on the concept of service separation, this research identifies an interaction effect between service separation (separated service, non-separated service) and response timing (immediate response, delaying response) on consumers' post-consumption intention. This research also finds that the relationship between service separation-response timing interaction and consumer response is mediated by consumers' negative emotions. This study contributes to refining our understanding of consumer psychology in service recovery. Practically, the studies also enable service providers to better allocate their resources to recover different types of services' failure.     

20世纪前期买办职业收入分析

20世纪前期，买办的职业报酬制度达到成熟和完善。买办的职业收入主要由薪金和佣金构成，还有一部分被外商默许的暗中收入。佣金是多数买办的主要收入，是买办经纪人身份的体现；薪金是买办与外商雇佣关系的一种象征。买办收入的复杂挂还在于不同行业的买办收入来源不一，且差距较大。     

沥青混凝土桥面铺装早期病害原因分析

针对沥青混凝土桥面铺装的早期病害及其原因进行了分析与研究,提出了用有限元分析需要注意的一些问题,指出了今后主要的研究方向。